A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, October 17, 2014

Council by-elections

There were ten council by-elections yesterday. Note the successful defence against UKIP by Labour in the key Essex target parliamentary seat of Thurrock, the UKIP gain from the Tories in Kent (Sittingbourne & Sheppey parliamentary constituency), and the two Lib Dem gains.

Harper Green Ward, Bolton MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1176 (50.7%, -6), UKIP 777 (33.4%, +9.3), Con 282 (12.2%, +0.1), Green 38 (1.6%, -2.2), LD 28 (1.2%, -1.7), Ind 19 (0.8%, +0.8). Swing of 7.7% from Lab to UKIP since May this year.

Towyn Ward, Conwy UA. Con hold. Con 143 (25%), Ind 116 (20.2%), Ind 104 (18.2%), Lab 98 (17.1%), Ind  69 (12%), Ind 43 (7.5%). No swing calculable as uncontested in 2012.

Medworth Ward, Fenland DC. Con hold. Con 257 (44.6%, -14.5), UKIP 201 (34.9%, +34.9), Lab 79 (13.7%, -17.8), LD 24 (4.2%, -5.2), Ind 15 (2.6%, +2.6). Swing of 26.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Tudor Ward, LB Kingston-on-Thames. Con hold. Con 1062 (41%, +0.1), LD 725 (28%, +10.3), Lab 314 (12.1%, -2.1), UKIP 269 (10.4%, -1.1), Green 219 (8.5%, -7.4). Swing of 5.1% from Con to LD since May this year.

Helmshore Ward, Rossendale BC. Con hold. Con 771 (48.8%, -13.4), Lab 444 (28.1%, -9.7), UKIP 364 (23.1%, +23.1%). Swing of 1.9% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Oakham South West Ward, Rutland UA. Con hold. Con 240 (52.2%, +13.8), Ind 177 (38.5%, +0.8), LD 43 (9.3%, -14.7). Swing of 6.5% from Ind to Con since 2011.

Whissendine Ward, Rutland UA. LD gain from Ind. LD 192 (51.8%, +51.8), Con 179 (48.2%, +5.8). Swing not meaningful since 2011.

Sheppey Central Ward, Swale DC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 831 (58.4%, +42.7), Con 324 (22.8%, -21.2), Lab 240 (16.9%, -15.1), Loony 27 (1.9%, -6.4). Swing of 32% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

West Thurrock & South Stifford Ward, Thurrock UA. Lab hold. Lab 903 (50.3%, +3), UKIP 621 (34.6%, +0.5), Con 270 (15.1%, -0.2). Swing of 1.3% from UKIP to Lab since May this year.

Westfield Ward, York UA. LD gain from Lab. LD 1804 (60.2%, +25.6), Lab 588 (19.6%, -23.8), UKIP 398 (13.3%, +13.3), Con 113 (3.8%, -10), Green 87 (2.9%, -5.5), Eng Dem 5 (0.2%, +0.2). Swing of 24.7% from Lab to LD since 2011.

Friday, October 10, 2014

Council by-elections

As well as the two parliamentary by-elections there were five council by-elections yesterday, including a Labour gain in the key marginal seat of Crawley:

Waterloo Ward, Blackpool UA. Con hold. Con 406 (34.5%, -5.3), UKIP 372 (31.6%, +31.6) Lab 347 (29.5%, -17.5), LD 34 (2.9%, -10.3), BNP 17 (1.4%, +1.4). Swing of 18.5% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Bicknacre and East and West Hanningfield, Chelmsford BC. Con hold. Con 649 (56.1%, -15.6), UKIP 359 (31%, +31), Lab 80 (6.9%, -9.2), Green 35 (3%, +3), LD 34 (2.9%, -9.3). Swing of 23.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Southgate Ward, Crawley BC. Lab gain from Con who had defected to UKIP. Lab 733 (44.1%, +9), Con 642 (38.6%, +6.1), UKIP 277 (16.7%, -6.7),  Justice 10 (0.6%, +0.6). Swing of 1.5% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Brightlingsea Division, Essex CC. Con gain from UKIP. Con 1809 (33.7%, +9.1), UKIP 1642 (30.6%, +0.2), LD 1199 (22.3%, -4.6), Lab 524 (9.8%, -2.7), Green 200 (3.7%, +0.2). Swing of 4.5% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

West Heath Ward, Rushmoor BC. UKIP hold. UKIP 662 (50.9%, +4.3), Con 312 (24%, -5.4), Lab 196 (15.1%, -0.3), LD 132 (10%, +1.4). Swing of 4.9% from Con to UKIP since May this year.


Friday, October 03, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections yesterday:

Llandaff North Ward, Cardiff CC. Lab hold. Lab 898 (50.1%, +2.7), Ind 419 (23.4%, +0.2), UKIP 204 (11.4%, +11.4), Con 136 (7.6%, +1.7), LD 134 (7.5%, -6.8). Swing of 1.3% from Ind to Lab since 2012.

Windermere Division, Cumbria CC. LD hold. LD 1061 (51.6%, -10.5), Con 810 (39.4%, +20.7), Ind 123 (6%, +6), Green 61 (3%, +3). Swing of 15.6% from LD to Con since 2013.

Windermere Town Ward, South Lakeland DC. LD hold. LD 416 (64%, -8.9), Con 184 (28.3%, +13.5), Green 50 (7.7%, +7.7). Swing of 11.2% from LD to Con since 2012.

Woodside Ward, LB Haringey. Lab hold. Lab 1331 (56.3%, -0.8), LD 482 (20.4%, +8.6), Green 191 (8.1%, -3.4), UKIP 161 (6.8%, -0.5), Con 140 (5.9%, -1.8), TUSC 35 (1.5%, -1.3), Ind 23 (1%, -0.7). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to LD since May this year.

Grange Park Ward, South Northamptonshire DC. Double by-election for two seats in same ward. 2 Con holds. Con 433, 313 (63.3%, -12.9), Lab 151 (22.1%, +22.1), UKIP 100, 84 (14.6%, +14.6). Swing of 17.5% from Con to Lab since 2012.

Westoe Ward, South Tyneside MBC. UKIP gain from Ind. UKIP 676 (40.9%, +2.9), Lab 625 (37.9%, -6.9), Con 219 (13.3%, -3.9), Green 90 (5.5%, +5.5), LD 41 (2.5%, +2.5). Swing of 4.9% from Lab to UKIP since May this year.

Friday, September 26, 2014

Council by-elections for last two weeks

18 September

Abergele Pensarm Ward, Conwy UA. Lab hold. Lab 160 (25.9%, -29.2), Ind 134 (21.7%, +21.7), UKIP 129 (20.9%, +20.9), Ind 74 (12%, -13.2), Ind 56 (9.1%, +9.1), Con 54 (8.8%, -10.9), Ind 10 (1.6%). Swing of 25.5% from Lab to Ind since 2012.

Crook Division, Durham UA. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 753 (46.8%, +6.5), UKIP 339 (21.1%, +21.1), LD 233 (14.5%, +6.6), Ind 193 (12%, -15), Con 90 (5.6%, +2.7). Swing of 7.3% from Lab to UKIP since 2013 by-election.

Quarry & Risinghurst Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 782 (42.3%, -1.3), LD 615 (33.3%, +7.8), Con 222 (12%, -7.2), Green 186 (10.1%, -1.7), Eng Dem 43 (2.3%, +2.3). Swing of 4.6% from Lab to LD since May this year.

25 September

Epping Hemnall Ward, Epping Forest DC. LD gain from Con. LD 607 (43.3%, +0.8), Con 386 (27.6%, +6.5), UKIP 339 (24.2%, -1.4), Green 69 (4.9%, +0.6). Swing of 2.9% from LD to Con since May this year.

Lovelace Ward, Guildford BC. LD gain from Con. LD 555 (63.4%, +49.1), Con 225 (25.7%, -45.3), UKIP 63 (7.2%, +7.2), Lab 32 (3.7%, -11). Swing of 47.2% from Con to LD since 2011.

Frome North Division, Somerset CC. Con gain from LD. Con 1111 (46.5%, +10.8), LD 836 (35%, -2.3), Lab 163 (6.8%, -3.9), Ind 139 (5.8%, +5.8), Green 139 (5.8%, +5.8). Swing of 6.6% from LD to Con since 2013.

Friday, September 12, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections last night. Several of these were in Tory marginal parliamentary seats – Carlisle (Castle Ward which saw a small swing to the Tories compared to May), Sherwood (Ollerton Ward which saw a 6.1% swing to Labour since 2011) and Oxford West & Abingdon (Abingdon Dunmore Ward which saw a swing of 10.4% to the Lib Dems since 2011, this is one of a handful of seats they hope to gain against the tide in the General Election).

Castle Ward, Carlisle BC. Lab hold. Lab 364 (38.4%, +1.1), Con 212 (22.4%, +3.4), UKIP  208 (22%, -0.9),  LD 121 (12.8%, +1.9), Green 42 (4.4%, -3.1). Swing of 1.2% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Castle Division, Carlisle CC. Lab hold. Lab 389 (37.7%, -2.8), Con 245 (23.7%, +13.1), UKIP 235 (22.8%, +2.8), LD 112 (10.9%, -12.3), Green 51 (4.9%, +0.9). Swing of 8% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Collingham & Meering Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Con hold. Con 568 (41.2%, -33.8), Ind 476 (35.5%, +35.5), UKIP 218 (15.8%, +15.8), Lab 118 (8.6%, -16.4). Swing of 34.7% from Con to Ind since 2013 by-election.

Ollerton Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Lab 837 (58.1%, +7.5), Con 323 (22.4%, -4.6), UKIP 280 (19.4%, +19.4). Swing of 6.1% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Beckton Ward, LB Newham. Lab hold. Lab 1006 (51%, -7.8), Con 584 (29.6%, -4.1), UKIP 215 (10.9%, +10.9), Green 70 (3.5%, +3.5), LD 43 (2.2%, +2.2), Christian PA 33 (1.7%, -6.2), TUSC 21 (1.1%, +1.1). Swing of 1.9% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Abingdon Dunmore Ward, Vale of White Horse DC. LD hold. LD 745 (52.4%, +14.7), Con 501 (35.2%, -6.1), UKIP 90 (6.3%, +6.3), Lab 87 (6.1%, -4.7). Swing of 10.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Friday, September 05, 2014

Council by-elections

Getting back on track with reporting council by-elections after a short break. The three yesterday saw two good Labour performances in the south (Oxford and Michael Gove’s Surrey Heath constituency) and a UKIP gain in Folkestone, one of their prime Kent parliamentary targets:

Carfax Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 168 (44.2%, +15.6), LD 101 (26.6%, +9), Green 63 (16.6%, -14.2), Con 24 (6.3%, -13.8), UKIP 24 (6.3%, +6.3). Swing of 3.3% from LD to Lab since May this year.

Folkestone Harvey Central Ward, Shepway DC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 287 (27.9%, +27.9), Con 224 (21.7%, -17.3), LD 198 (19.2%, +2.3), Lab 196 (19%, -9.1), Green 96 (9.3%, +9.3), TUSC 29% (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 22.6% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Old Dean Ward, Surrey Heath DC. Lab hold. Lab 290 (44.6%, -5.6), Con 196 (29.8%, -0.5), UKIP 171 (26%, +14.3). Swing of 2.6% from Lab to Con since 2011.

Friday, July 04, 2014

Council by-elections and deferred polls

Here are the results of the council by-elections and deferred polls since 22 May:

3 July

Wivenhoe Quay Ward, Colchester BC. Lab hold. Lab 857 (46.7%, -5.4), Con 629 (34.3%, +2.4), UKIP 129 (7%, +7), LD 127 (6.9%, n/c), Green 90 (4.9%, -4.2), Pat Soc 2 (0.1%, +0.1). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to Con since 2012.

St James Ward, Northampton BC. Lab hold. Lab 307 (31.7%, -2.9), LD 262 (27.1%, +9.9), UKIP 201 (20.8%, +20.8), Con 198 (20.5%, -11.4). Swing of 6.4% from Lab to LD since 2011.

Braunston & Crick Division, Northamptonshire CC. Con hold. Con 1019 (40.5%, +6.5), Lab 989 (39.3%, +9.5), UKIP 506 (20.1%, -11.3). Swing of 1.5% from Con to Lab since 2013.

Brixworth Division, Northamptonshire CC. Con hold.  Con 1297 (55.4%, +4.4),
UKIP 500 (21.3%, -3.7), Lab 248 (10.6%, -2.6), Green 228 (9.7%, +3), LD 69 (2.9%, -1.1). Swing of 4.1% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

Old Laund Booth Ward, Pendle BC. LD hold. LD 427 (58.3%, +9.8), Con 266 (36.3%, -10.9), UKIP 27 (3.7%, +3.7), Blue Party 13 (1.8%, +1.8). Swing of 10.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Manningtree, Mistley, Little Bentley & Tendring Ward, Tendring DC. Con hold. Con 376 (46%, +4.3), LD 159 (19.4%, -16.6), UKIP 154 (18.8%, +18.8), Labour 129 (15.8%, +15.8). Swing of 10.5% from LD to Con since 2011.

Charlton Park Ward, Cheltenham BC. LD gain from Con. LD 861 (45.9%, -1)
Con 767 (40.9%, -12.1), UKIP 154 (8.2%, +8.2), Lab 46 (2.5%, +2.5), Green 46 (2.5%, +2.5).

Blackwall & Cubitt Town Ward, LB Tower Hamlets. New ward boundaries. 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab 956, 875, 872 (31.8%), Con 877, 815, 762 (28.9%), Tower Hamlets First 744, 726, 713 (25.7%), UKIP 240, 190, 188 (7.3%), Green 110, 98, 74 (3.3%), LD 71, 68, 58 (2.3%), TUSC 11, 11 (0.4%), Ind 11 (0.4%). The previous ward with this name (on different boundaries) elected 3 Tory councillors in 2010.

2 July

Skipton West Ward, Craven DC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 185 (24%, +3),  LD 143 (18.5%, -18),  Con 131 (17%, -3.6), UKIP 126 (16.3%, +16.3), Ind 120 (15.5%, +15.5), Green 67 (8.7%, +8.7). This is the first Labour seat won on this council since 1996. Swing of 10.5% from LD to Lab since 2012.

Skipton West Division, North Yorkshire CC. Ind gain from LD. Ind 391 (23.4%, -0.2),  Con 355 (21.3%, +0.9),  LD 309 (18.5%, -10.1), UKIP 238 (14.3%, +14.3), Green 194 (11.6%, -4),  Lab 181 (10.9%, -0.9). Swing of 0.6% from Ind to Con since 2013.

26 June

Swanwick Ward, Amber Valley DC. Con hold. Con 474 (36.4%, -7), Lab 298 (22.9%, -2.2), Ind 252 (19.4%, -9.1), UKIP 245 (18.8%, +18.8), LD 32 (2.5%, +2.5). Swing of 2.4% from Con to Lab since 2011.

 Colindale Ward, LB Hendon. Lab holds X3. Lab 2190, 2088, 2015, (66.3%, +10.8) Con 501, 466, 420,  (15.2%, -4.9), UKIP 347, 309, 268, (10.5%, +10.5), LD 133, 90, 87, (4%, -14.6), Green 130, 114, 108 (3.9%, -1.8). Swing of 7.9% from Con to Lab since 2010.

19 June

Soham South Ward, East Cambridgeshire DC. Con gain from Ind. Con 363 (34.4%, -1.5), UKIP 201 (19.1%, +19.1), LD 191 (18.1%, -1), Ind 148 (14%, -14.8), Ind 80 (7.6%, +7.6), Lab 71 (6.7%, -9.4). Swing of 10.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Southam Ward, Stratford-on-Avon DC. Con hold. Con 493 (42.9%,  +2), Lab 398 (34.6%, +11.7), UKIP 259 (22.5%, -7). Swing of 4.9% from Con to Lab since May this year.

12 June

Sleaford Quarrington & Mareham Ward, North Kesteven DC.  Lincs Ind gain from Ind. Lincs Ind 527 (44.6%, +20.8), Con 477 (40.4%, +0.9), Ind 178 (15.1%, +15.1).  Swing of 10% from Con to Lincs Ind since 2011.

Sleaford Westholme Ward, North Kesteven DC. Lincs Ind gain from Ind. Lincs Ind 342 (68.5%, +68.5), Con 119 (23.8%, +3.3), Lab 38 (7.6%, +7.6). Swing not meaningful.

Collington Ward, Rother DC. Ind hold. Ind 570 (+41.9, -7.8), Con 378  (27.8%, -11.7), UKIP 311 (22.9%, +22.9), Lab 102 (7.5%, -3.3). Swing of 2% from Con to Ind since 2011.

5 June

Clydesdale South Ward, South Lanarkshire UA. Lab gain from SNP. First preference votes: Lab 1492 (40.8%, -2.8), SNP 1170 (32%, -9.7), Con 659 (18%, +7.5), UKIP 233 (6.4%, -2.1), Green 104 (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 3.5% from SNP to Lab since 2012.

Labourlist columns

My recent Labourlist columns:










 
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